Three parts natural, seven parts man-made: Bayesian analysis of China’s Great Leap Forward demographic disaster

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The Great Leap Forward: Anatomy of a Central Planning Disaster

The Great Leap Forward disaster, characterized by a collapse in grain production and a widespread famine in China between 1959 and 1961, is found attributable to a systemic failure in central planning. Wishfully expecting a great leap in agricultural productivity from collectivization, the Chinese government accelerated its aggressive industrialization timetable. Grain output fell sharply as th...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

سال: 2009

ISSN: 0167-2681

DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2007.09.008